Below you'll find a list of all posts that have been categorized as “Blog”
When the media reports on the “Bay Area median home price,” it’s worth remembering that SF is a relatively small market compared to the big 3 counties. Appreciation in Very Expensive Markets Based on the calculations of an algorithm created to track long-term price changes, this next chart looks at percentage appreciation since 2012 in the most expensive markets of …
Long-Term Trends in Median Home Sales Prices Using a six-month-rolling average of monthly median sales prices smooths out the often meaningless monthly fluctuations to illustrate broad, long-term appreciation trends with more clarity. Sales Volumes and Median Prices by City In this first chart, we have included some cities in Sonoma County to add further context …
Continue reading “Napa County Real Estate November 2019 Report”
Using six-month-rolling figures for monthly median sales prices smooths out the often meaningless monthly fluctuations to illustrate broad, long-term appreciation trends with more clarity. Home Sales Volume by Month A crystal clear illustration of the role of seasonality in the SF real estate market. Starting in November activity begins to plunge towards the mid-winter nadir. Remember that November sales volumes …
Updated Market & Census Statistics, Home Prices & Appreciation Rates, Luxury Home Sales, Price Reductions, Employment & Interest Rates. Year-over-Year Q3 Comparisons – Q3 2016 – Q3 2019 Median House Sales Price by Quarter Year-over-Year Quarterly Appreciation Rates Home Sales by Price Segment & Bedroom Count The variety of homes sold in Napa County is …
Continue reading “Napa County Real Estate October 2019 Report”
Updated Market & Census Statistics, Home Prices & Appreciation Rates, Luxury Home Sales, Price Reductions, Employment & Interest Rates. It will be another month before hard data on the autumn selling season begins to become available. In the meantime, below is a review of market trends and statistics through the third quarter. Note that September sales data mostly reflects market …
Home Prices by City; Short-Term & Long-Term Appreciation; Migration In & Out of the County; Price Reductions; Supply & Demand. Home Prices & Appreciation Trends by City Short-Term & Long-Term Trends in County Median Home Values People Moving In & Out of Napa County Using new U.S. Census estimates released 8/29/19, this chart attempts to …
Continue reading “Napa County Real Estate September 2019 Report”
Neighborhood House & Condo Prices; Short-Term & Long-Term Appreciation Trends; Population Migration In & Out of the City. After the heat of the spring market, activity typically slows down markedly in July and August. In September, listings start pouring on the market again to fuel the relatively short autumn selling season – in fact, September is typically the single month …
Note that it is not unusual for median home sales prices to peak for the calendar year in spring (Q2). This is due not only to heightened buyer demand, but also to the extreme seasonality of the luxury home market – more luxury home sales (as a percentage of total sales) pull overall median sales prices up. Year-over-Year Median Home-Price …
Home Prices, Appreciation & Ownership Costs; Affordability Percentages, Household Incomes, Interest Rates, Rents & Homelessness. August 2019 Report – including 30 illustrative charts. Housing affordability may be the largest social and political issue in the Bay Area, and the effects of low affordability also greatly impact the general economic picture in a wide variety of important ways – from hiring …
Sales & Values by City, Price Segment & Lot Size; Luxury Home Sales; Market Seasonality; Market Indicators by City; Foreign Homebuyers. A Breakdown of Sales by Price Segment Sales, Prices & Home Sizes by Lot Size In San Francisco, houses selling for $8 million and houses selling for $800,000 can both be found on lots …
Continue reading “Napa County Real Estate August 2019 Report”
Sales & Values by District and Price Segment, Special Circumstance Sales, Market Seasonality, the Luxury Home Market & Foreign Buyers. The May Case-Shiller Home Price Index was released in late July for the 5-county SF metro area. This chart illustrates the difference in appreciation rates between the Bay Area (higher price markets) and the entire country. Case-Shiller does not use …
The CoreLogic S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index does not evaluate median sales price changes, but employs its own proprietary algorithm to measure home price appreciation over time. Since its indices cover large areas – for example, the San Francisco Metro Area is comprised of 5 counties – which themselves contain communities of widely varying home values, the C-S chart numbers …
Executive Summary: Higher-end sales (above $3 million) surged in the second quarter to last year’s historical peaks. Home prices remained flat in the second quarter, except in San Francisco and San Mateo. For-sale inventory growth slowed considerably, especially in San Francisco. Inventory remains at 50 percent of the last housing boom. Tax reform is likely …
Continue reading “How did the spur of IPOs impact Bay Area housing markets?”
The county Q2 2019 median house sales price was a tad above that of Q2 2018, but remains below the peak reached last summer. Home Sales by Property Type & Bedroom Count Sales Volumes: General Market & Higher Price Segments For the overall county market, spring sales volume in 2019 was a little above spring …
An interesting 2019 so far: Stock markets have hit new peaks; interest rates have hit multi-year lows; the SF unemployment rate dropped to a historic low; Bay Area unicorn IPOs have rolled out one after the other; SF residential and office rents have ticked up; consumer, corporate and governmental debt levels – nationally and internationally, across virtually every sector – …
Santa Clara County saw a rebound in buyer demand, luxury home sales and in median home sales prices in Q2, assisted by stock markets hitting new peaks and interest rates falling to multi-year lows. However, its market remains distinctly cooler than the white-hot period running from late 2017 through mid-2018 – when it was perhaps …
Continue reading “Santa Clara Q2 Real Estate Market – Compass”
An interesting 2019 so far: Stock markets have hit new peaks; interest rates hit multi-year lows; the SF unemployment rate dropped to a historic low; Bay Area unicorn IPOs have rolled out one after the other; SF residential and office rents have ticked up; and SF median house and condo prices hit new peaks in Q2. In the 2-4 unit …
High stock markets, low interest rates, surging luxury home sales, a spring full of local IPOs, and San Mateo County hit a new high in median house sales price (by a nose). July 2019 Report San Mateo County real estate saw a strong Q2 market, though, generally speaking, not quite as competitive as the white-hot …
Continue reading “San Mateo Real Estate Q2 Report – Compass”
High stock markets, low interest rates, surging luxury home sales, limited inventory, a spring full of unicorn IPOs, and San Francisco – once again -hits new highs in median home sales prices. July 2019 Update After 2 quarters of no or negative year-over-year home price appreciation, a confluence of positive economic factors sent San Francisco median home sales prices to …
Friday’s national employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the U.S. economy added 224,000 in June, exceeding the expectations of market observers who were counting on lower gains amid some slower May economic reports. The current economic expansion also entered its 121st month in July, marking the longest expansion in modern …
Continue reading “June U.S. Jobs Report: Continued strength lowers expectations of Fed cut in July”
California added 19,400 jobs in May bringing the unemployment rate down to 4.2 percent, according to the latest report from the state Employment Development Department. The lowest unemployment rate, 4.1 percent, was seen in second half of 2018. Current job growth is at a 111-month expansion — the second-longest since 113-month expansion of 1960s. With …
Continue reading “California on track for longest job expansion in recorded history”
Executive Summary: While April’s momentum is slightly slower in May, May sales are still only 2 percent below last year’s highs after double-digit declines earlier in the year. Home sales momentum remains solid in East Bay. Napa sales finally jumped 6 percent after a 6-month losing streak, averaging 20 percent annual declines. Affordable sales picked …
Continue reading “Plenty of Bay Area buyers, but why are they hesitant?”
While overall Bay Area pace of sales in May still trends 2 percent below last year’s levels, some regions are starting to see sales pace pick up ahead of last year. Sales below $1 million are up for the second month in a row after more than 20 months of annual declines. CONTRA COSTA COUNTY …
Continue reading “Compass May 2019 Bay Area Real Estate Update”
Below is a look at the past 30+ years of San Francisco Bay Area real estate boom and bust cycles. Financial-market cycles have been around for hundreds of years, from the Dutch tulip mania of the 1600’s through today’s speculative frenzy in digital-currencies. While future cycles will vary in their details, the causes, effects and trend lines are often quite …
